Costa has the advantage, but Rio is also growing

António Costa leaves with an advantage over Rui Rio for the January 30 legislatives. According to an Aximage poll for the DN, JN and TSF, the Portuguese consider that the socialist is more competent, supportive and influential. And that will make, therefore, a better prime minister. But there are also positive signs for the Social Democrat: he gets, for the first time, a positive assessment and is considered the most honest.

With a month and a half before the elections, it is clear who is leading the race to become prime minister: António Costa surpasses Rui Rio in a series of parameters in which the two were placed face to face. And in some cases it leaves the rival far away.

Another sign of the socialist’s favoritism is given by the regular assessment of politicians. After the dismal results in November (a reflection of the lead in the Budget, the dissolution of Parliament and the anticipation of elections), Costa returns, in December, to a positive balance (19 percentage points). And he remains the most popular party leader.

The direct push

It is true that Rui Rio continues further behind. But you also have reasons to smile. Clearly catapulted by the victory on the straights (which many considered unlikely), the PSD leader achieves for the first time in this series of Aximage barometers, started in July 2020, a positive balance (eight points) in the assessment of the Portuguese. In other words, between November and December there is a huge jump of 30 points in popularity (it had 22 negative points).

The question remains as to whether he will be able to add enough support in the month and a half that are left for the definitive decision-taking of the ballot boxes. It is certain that it has the best of stages this weekend, at the congress that starts today in Santa Maria da Feira, to try to ensure that the tide continues to rise.

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