the end of the pandemic, a “very likely” scenario?

COVID. If the figures for Covid-19 contamination have reached peaks in recent days, specialists evoke, Friday January 14, 2022, an imminent outcome to the pandemic

15:51 – HAS gives the green light to Novavax’s Nuvaxovid vaccine

This Friday, the High Authority for Health (HAS) green light for Novavax’s anti-Covid vaccine, Nuvaxovid. In its opinion, although it recalls “its recommendation to favor mRNA vaccines – reference vaccines in the strategy to fight against the virus”, the health authority indicates that, “for people reluctant to this type of vaccine and those who cannot benefit from it (contraindication), the HAS considers that the Nuvaxovid® vaccines from Novavax […] represents an effective alternative “.

All the details in our article dedicated to Novavax.

15:31 – Gabriel Attal welcomes the weekly test record

During his trip to Saint-Ouen (Seine-Saint-Denis), Gabriel Attal indicated that “1.7 million tests per day on average” had been carried out: “12 million over a week, it’s colossal , it’s a record, ”he commented.

He also defended the government’s strategy of massively testing the French to follow the evolution of the epidemic. In addition, the government spokesperson assured that “the difficulties of supplying self-tests are behind us”: “The stocks are arriving, they are in number, 11 million were delivered this week and they will continue to be delivered” in pharmacies, he said.

3:15 p.m. – 80% of pharmacies have self-tests, assures Gabriel Attal

This Friday, Gabriel Attal said that 80% of pharmacies had self-tests today, against 60% last week.

14:49 – PSG: Denis Franchi positive for Covid-19

While Lionel Messi will be absent from tomorrow’s PSG-Brest match (see 2:45 p.m. post), the capital club have let it be known that goalkeeper Denis Franchi had tested positive for Covid-19.

14:45 – Lionel Messi will not participate in the match against Brest

Having contracted Covid-19 during the holidays, Lionel Messi will not participate in the match against Brest on Saturday in the Football League 1, his coach, Mauricio Pochettino said on Friday.

14:26 – Soon a new decree on wearing a mask outdoors in Paris

While the judicial cancellation of the general wearing of masks outdoors in Paris took place yesterday, government spokesman Gabriel Attal let it be known that a new decree was in preparation: “The Interior Ministry will take a new decree to define more precisely the conditions under which the mask must be worn outdoors, “he said in particular.

13:02 – Beginning of a decline in positive Covid-19 cases for Île-de-France and Corsica?

According to Guillaume Rozier, founder of the CovidTracker epidemic monitoring tool, Île-de-France and Corsica “seem to start a decline in positive cases for Covid-19”, their incidence rate having fallen significantly (see infographic below) .

12:41 – Omicron responsible for 88% of positive cases in France

In its report, the Drees indicates that between January 3 and 9, 2022, “it is estimated that the Omicron variant would affect:

  • 88% of positive PCR tests;
  • 52% of conventional hospital admissions;
  • 31% of critical care admissions. “

Figures that can be explained, according to Drees, in several ways:

  • “on the one hand, the temporality of these events differs since infections precede hospitalizations by about a week

  • on the other hand, the rate of increase in the share of Omicron variant in hospitalized people seems to be more moderate than in people who tested positive

  • In addition, it appears that among infected or hospitalized patients, the proportion affected by the Omicron variant is higher in the youngest and in vaccinated people “

12:19 – Overrepresentation of the unvaccinated

The Drees confirms, in its report this Friday, the “overrepresentation of the unvaccinated in events related to Covid” and the “protection conferred by the vaccine against severe forms”. It specifies in particular that between December 6, 2021 and January 2, 2022, the 9% of people not vaccinated against Covid-19 in France aged 20 years and over represent:

  • 19% of positive PCR tests in symptomatic people
  • 44% of admissions to conventional hospitalization with Covid-19
  • 58% of critical care admissions with Covid-19
  • 44% of deaths after hospitalization with Covid-19

12:05 – Shorter hospitalizations with Omicron

In its latest report, Drees indicates that “on first analysis, hospital stays appear shorter for the Omicron variant compared to the Delta variant.”

11:52 – Drees emphasizes importance of vaccine against severe forms of Omicron

In its latest report, published this Friday, the Directorate of Research, Studies, Evaluation and Statistics (DREES) underlines the importance of the vaccine to prevent severe forms of Omicron: “Vaccine protection remains high against severe forms of infection with the Omicron variant, even if it is less than that against the Delta variant “, she indicates in particular. And to specify: “For the people tested positive of less than 80 years, the probability of being hospitalized in critical care is particularly reduced with the variant Omicron compared to the variant Delta, and this, for all the vaccine statuses; this reduction of The risk is particularly high for people aged 60 to 79 who are also the most represented in these hospitalizations “.

La Drees concludes: “the vaccine, and more particularly the booster dose, are effective in combating hospitalizations after infection with the Omicron variant, even if the efficacy is reduced compared to the Delta variant”.

11:31 – Will France escape the worst?

According to researcher Simon Cauchemez, who heads the forecasts of the Institut Pasteur, although 2022 was marked by an explosion of Covid-19 cases in France, France could escape the worst: “We are moving towards scenarios which remain very complicated for the hospital but are not the hardest that could have arisen “. Most likely scenario, according to the Institut Pasteur: the peak of daily hospitalizations is reached at the end of January. It includes between 2,500 and just over 5,000 new hospitalizations per day. Figures that exceed the record for spring 2020 but, unlike that time, strict containment will not be necessary.

11:11 – Nearly 600,000 people risk having their health pass deactivated tomorrow

Notice to all people who have not received their booster dose but had their last injection more than seven months ago: in the absence of a Covid-19 infection, your health pass will be deactivated as soon as possible. tomorrow. As a reminder, the date of January 15, 2022 was set in November by the government as the deadline to receive his vaccination reminder. However, as of January 13, only 30,513,782 booster doses have been injected, according to the Directorate General of Health (DGS).

10:55 – Two new treatments recommended by the WHO

In the medical journal The British Medical Journal, experts from the World Health Organization (WHO) have indicated that they recommend treatment with synthetic antibodies, as part of the fight against the Covid-19 epidemic. Sotrovimab, recommended for patients who have contracted a mild Covid but are at high risk of hospitalization. And a drug commonly used against rheumatoid arthritis, baricitinib, which is recommended for “patients with severe or critical Covid”, to whom it should be administered “in combination with corticosteroids”.

10:41 – 3,000 classes closed in France

According to Jean-Michel Blanquer, currently 3,000 classes are closed in France; the minister also indicated that this figure would “go up in the next few days”.

READ MORE

According to the latest data from Public Health France, communicated on Thursday, January 13, the seven-day average continues to increase and now exceeds 293,000 new cases. In the past 24 hours, 225 people have died from Covid-19 in hospital. The incidence rate has fallen over the past 24 hours and is now 2,833 new contaminations per 100,000 inhabitants, or 3 points less than the day before. Here is the detailed report:

According to the latest epidemiological point of Public Health France (SPF), published Thursday, January 13, France is facing a “sharp increase in the circulation of SARS-CoV-2” and a “increase in new admissions to hospital and in critical care which significantly increases the strain on hospital care “. The incidence rate was over 2,000 positive cases per 100,000 inhabitants in all regions.

Follow the evolution of the coronavirus in your town using the map below. Click on a department to display the list of municipalities. Also find all the details on this mapping and the full point by city and by department in our article on the Covid map in France.

Since mid-October 2020, Public Health France has been communicating incidence data (number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants) at the municipal level. The figures are at this stage communicated according to a scale (10, 20, 50, 150, 250, 500, 1000 cases per 100,000 inhabitants). The data are expressed on a rolling week, which means that they are calculated on a day D from the tests carried out between 3 and 9 days previously. To access information relating to the coronavirus in your town, enter its name into the search engine or click on its department in the map below.

As a reminder, the incidence rate corresponds to the number of new cases of Covid-19 over a period of one week, compared to the total population of a territory (country, region, department or municipality). This indicator is generally expressed in number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants. The screening rate gives the number of people who have tested for the coronavirus out of the total number of inhabitants, during the period. It is also expressed most often on 100,000 inhabitants. Finally, the test positivity rate gives the percentage of positive tests for the coronavirus, compared to the total number of tests carried out over the period.